Typhoon Mawar ‘super strong’ five days after landfall, Korea, Japan, and the U.S. all predicted paths “toward the Philippines”
Typhoon Mawar, the second typhoon to hit the region on the 20th of this month, is expected to continue on this path, with its initial northwesterly track now turning significantly westward.
Its destination is likely to be the Philippines. It is a context that is moving away from Korea.
On the afternoon of the 22nd, the predicted path of Typhoon Mawar by Korean토토사이트, Japanese, and American weather authorities is similar.
According to the forecast released by the Korea Meteorological Administration at around 4 p.m. today, Typhoon Mawar is located 510 kilometers southeast of Guam as of 3 p.m. today. Its current intensity is “strong.
As it continues to pass close to Guam, it will turn northwest to west and turn left.
As it passes Guam on the 23rd and 24th, it will increase in intensity to ‘very strong’ and then further increase to ‘super strong’ on the 27th. This is the highest level on the typhoon intensity scale (moderate, strong, very strong, and super strong).
This means that by the 27th, Typhoon Mawar will be getting stronger and stronger, reaching the highest level on the scale.
By 3 p.m. on the 27th, Typhoon Mawar is closer to the sea east of the Philippine island of Luzon. It is 1,230 kilometers southeast of Okinawa, Japan.
The Japan Meteorological Agency is still closely monitoring whether Typhoon Mawar will affect Korea, as its path is still in flux. Currently, it is likely to head for the Philippines, which is one of the typhoon’s main paths.
The projected path of Typhoon Mawar, released by the Japan Meteorological Agency at 3:00 p.m. earlier in the day, also points to waters east of the Philippines. The same goes for the left turn near Guam on the 23rd and 24th.
The U.S. Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) is also now forecasting a major track change for Typhoon Mawar on the 23rd and 24th, with the system heading east of the Philippines.
European Center for Medium-term Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) model projected location of Typhoon Mawar at 1 a.m. on May 31
Global Forecast Service (GFS) Model Predicted Position of Typhoon Mawar at 1:00 AM on May 31st
The forecast paths from the three major meteorological organizations only provide forecasts up to about May 27, but here’s what the models are predicting after that.
The European Center for Medium-term Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) model shows Typhoon Mawar moving east of the Philippines, then east of Taiwan, then southwest of Okinawa, then north again.
The U.S. Weather Service (GFS) model shows Typhoon Mawar approaching the waters east of the Philippines and then veering more eastward instead of straight north, heading south toward Okinawa, Kyushu, and Honshu, Japan.
Both the European Centers for Medium-Term Forecasting and the National Weather Service are predicting that Typhoon Mawar will turn westward near the Philippines and then veer off course once more, becoming more northerly or northeasterly.
The path of a typhoon depends on the surrounding distribution of high pressure, which is a “strong cyclone” that pushes the typhoon away, and sea surface temperatures, which are a measure of the water vapor and heat that is the typhoon’s “food”.
MAWAR is the name submitted by Malaysia, one of the 14 member countries of the Typhoon Committee, and means “rose”.